Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 0.052607 0.057080 0.061604 0.066516 0.071693 0.076978 0.082775
2025-04-13 0.046524 0.053167 0.060118 0.067909 0.076370 0.085255 0.095264
2025-04-20 0.040401 0.048448 0.057134 0.067146 0.078308 0.090311 0.104133
2025-04-27 0.036165 0.045304 0.055447 0.067429 0.081088 0.096069 0.113637
2025-05-04 0.033264 0.043341 0.054803 0.068637 0.084708 0.102631 0.123962
2025-05-11 0.031343 0.042300 0.055039 0.070699 0.089192 0.110103 0.135302
2025-05-18 0.027344 0.038447 0.051682 0.068298 0.088274 0.111211 0.139224
2025-05-25 0.024835 0.036225 0.050106 0.067851 0.089517 0.114716 0.145837
2025-06-01 0.022645 0.034235 0.048667 0.067438 0.090688 0.118052 0.152193
2025-06-08 0.021800 0.033916 0.049260 0.069486 0.094818 0.124904 0.162731
2025-06-15 0.020722 0.033201 0.049281 0.070765 0.097969 0.130568 0.171863
2025-06-22 0.019546 0.032268 0.048950 0.071539 0.100454 0.135406 0.180007
2025-06-29 0.018009 0.030777 0.047854 0.071328 0.101742 0.138860 0.186602
2025-07-06 0.017287 0.030391 0.048203 0.072987 0.105405 0.145266 0.196858
2025-07-13 0.015787 0.028782 0.046813 0.072283 0.105996 0.147834 0.202397
2025-07-20 0.014767 0.027813 0.046246 0.072630 0.107911 0.152043 0.209970
2025-07-27 0.014135 0.027385 0.046400 0.073926 0.111050 0.157795 0.219481
2025-08-03 0.013822 0.027426 0.047207 0.076109 0.115365 0.165064 0.230933
2025-08-10 0.012150 0.025212 0.044670 0.073588 0.113370 0.164224 0.232150
2025-08-17 0.011190 0.024074 0.043645 0.073121 0.114076 0.166821 0.237692
2025-08-24 0.010312 0.023011 0.042676 0.072687 0.114789 0.169405 0.243210
2025-08-31 0.010146 0.023148 0.043517 0.074845 0.119046 0.176626 0.254695
2025-09-07 0.009792 0.022932 0.043801 0.076190 0.122191 0.182408 0.264364